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OT: American Politics

You guys are our insiders on the Nazi owned social media site now - fill us in.
Unfortunately maga and Nazis are pretty aligned on being pro Russia and anti Ukraine. They throw bigger bitch fits when they look at the administration's weak deportation data, or anything that's pro Israel. Or protecting the Epstein files because they genuinely thought that only democrats are on the files.
 


So I took a quick look into this, and their forecast is based entirely on existing predictors of where the economy is going. Consumer Price Index increases (inflation), Personal Consumption Index, consumer sentiment surveys, business sentiment survey's, etc.

So the scary thing for the US economy is that we haven't even begun to see the impacts of Trump's policies yet. This is just from the uncertainty he's generating fucking things up. Also, keep in mind that this data would include a lot of juiced business numbers as the response from businesses to the threat of tariffs is to buy as many months of inventory as they can manage before tariffs kick in. It's cheaper to rent warehouse space today than it is to pay 25% more for your goods next week so there has been a big ass flurry of buying over the last few months. That's all baked in to these numbers and they still suck.
 
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