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OT: The Toronto Blue Jays

Plausible Best Possible Lineup:

Using this year's stats only:

* 1. 1B Horwitz (26): 174pa, .374obp, 127wrc+, 4.5war/650
* 2. DH Guerrero (25): 468pa, .385obp, 155wrc+, 4.0war/650
* 3. 2B Schneider (25): 331pa, .311obp, 98wrc+, 1.6war/650
* 4. RF Springer (34): 417pa, .310obp, 97wrc+, 1.9war/650
* 5. 3B Clement (28): 244pa, .285obp, 95wrc+, 2.1war/650
* 6. CF Varsho (27): 369pa, .280obp, 92wrc+, 3.9war/650
* 7. LF Loperfido (25): 118pa, .299obp, 87wrc+, 1.7war/650
* 8. C Kirk (25): 213pa, .305obp, 78wrc+, 3.4war/650
* 9. SS Bichette (26): 331pa, .275obp, 69wrc+, 0.4war/650

* X. IF Jimenez (23): 64pa, .297obp, 69wrc+, -1.0war/650
* X. OF Berroa (25): 20pa, .250obp, 39wrc+, 0.0war/650
* X. OF Clase (22): 43pa, .233obp, 32wrc+, -1.5war/650
* X. UT Barger (24): 76pa, .200obp, 27wrc+, -5.1war/650
* X. C Serven (29): 19pa, .211obp, -4wrc+, -6.8war/650



Using Fangraphs Combined Rest of Season Projections:

* 1. 1B Horwitz (26): 163pa, .357obp, 116wrc+, 4.0war/650
* 2. DH Guerrero (25): 229pa, .364obp, 145wrc+, 4.0war/650
* 3. SS Bichette (26): 147pa, .320obp, 113wrc+, 3.5war/650
* 4. RF Springer (34): 215pa, .324obp, 112wrc+, 2.7war/650
* 5. C Kirk (25): 144pa, .342obp, 111wrc+, 5.4war/650
* 6. 2B Schneider (25): 161pa, .327obp, 110wrc+, 2.4war/650
* 7. CF Varsho (27): 212pa, .296obp, 103wrc+, 3.4war/650
* 8. 3B Clement (28): 86pa, .305obp, 98wrc+, 2.3war/650
* 9. LF Barger (24): 61pa, .304obp, 95wrc+, 1.1war/650

* X. IF Jimenez (23): 72pa, .320obp, 91wrc+, 1.8war/650
* X. OF Loperfido (25): 138pa, .298obp, 90wrc+, 0.0war/650
* X. OF Clase (22): 19pa, .282obp, 79wrc+, 0.0war/650
* X. C Serven (29): 70pa, .249obp, 56wrc+, 0.9war/650

* X. C Clarke (26): 6pa, .318obp, 88wrc+, 0.0war/650
* X. OF Berroa (25): 14pa, .287obp, 75wrc+, 0.0war/650
* X. IF DeLosSantos (26): 14pa, .279obp, 73wrc+, 0.0war/650
 
Kirk had to leave the game today. Hopefully it’s not serious. Catching duo is going to be pretty funny if he misses time.
 
All in all, I think management did a pretty good job here. Sure, would have been nice to cash in on Green and maybe Bassit given the prices going around, but even being willing to dump off IKF at the last second helps.

The team didn't get any star players back, although Bloss immediately goes into being one of the team's top 5 prospects. I'm guessing he spends the rest of this year at AAA, maybe gets a spot start or two late in the season once the AAA calendar is done, and next year is in conversation for the #5 spot in the rotation.

Loperfido seems like Varsho-lite. Clase seems similar. I would expect the pair of them to essentially hold down the #3 and #4 outfield slots. And with KK, Turner, and IKF traded away, that will give plenty of ABs for Horwitz, Jimenez, Clement, Barger, etc... to round out the infield the rest of the year, and hopefully give the team an idea of which of them look like legit players who can stick, and which might need replacements.

A lot of the other names are wildcards, but between the 10 or so of them they added, there's a decent chance that one or two of them will be ready soon enough and potentially make a difference.

According to Cot's Contracts, the Jays are at about 140m in commitments for next year, on a 241M CBT threshold. If they are willing to spend to that (which is around the 235m they are at this year), then you have about 100m to play with. With generous estimates, you probably have:
Vlad 26m
Romano 9m
Varsho 10m
Kirk 5m

So you have about 50m left. Say you allocate another 10-15m to generic first year arbitration raises and the players needed to fill out the roster (ie. Manoah will be 2m, Clement maybe 1.5, etc...), you probably have a solid 40m or so to spend in free agency. You could try for one of the big arms (Burnes, Fried, Bieber, Walker), or I could see them go for a second tier arm or bullpen help and try for like a Ha-Seong Kim option instead to shore up the infield defense. But either way, I think you have some space to play with.
 
UWHabs said:
All in all, I think management did a pretty good job here. Sure, would have been nice to cash in on Green and maybe Bassit given the prices going around, but even being willing to dump off IKF at the last second helps.

The team didn't get any star players back, although Bloss immediately goes into being one of the team's top 5 prospects. I'm guessing he spends the rest of this year at AAA, maybe gets a spot start or two late in the season once the AAA calendar is done, and next year is in conversation for the #5 spot in the rotation.

Loperfido seems like Varsho-lite. Clase seems similar. I would expect the pair of them to essentially hold down the #3 and #4 outfield slots. And with KK, Turner, and IKF traded away, that will give plenty of ABs for Horwitz, Jimenez, Clement, Barger, etc... to round out the infield the rest of the year, and hopefully give the team an idea of which of them look like legit players who can stick, and which might need replacements.

A lot of the other names are wildcards, but between the 10 or so of them they added, there's a decent chance that one or two of them will be ready soon enough and potentially make a difference.

According to Cot's Contracts, the Jays are at about 140m in commitments for next year, on a 241M CBT threshold. If they are willing to spend to that (which is around the 235m they are at this year), then you have about 100m to play with. With generous estimates, you probably have:
Vlad 26m
Romano 9m
Varsho 10m
Kirk 5m

So you have about 50m left. Say you allocate another 10-15m to generic first year arbitration raises and the players needed to fill out the roster (ie. Manoah will be 2m, Clement maybe 1.5, etc...), you probably have a solid 40m or so to spend in free agency. You could try for one of the big arms (Burnes, Fried, Bieber, Walker), or I could see them go for a second tier arm or bullpen help and try for like a Ha-Seong Kim option instead to shore up the infield defense. But either way, I think you have some space to play with.
Click to expand...
If this is all then they are fucked. The lineup needs one needle mover and they have so many holes you know they will spread 40m around
 
UWHabs said:
All in all, I think management did a pretty good job here. Sure, would have been nice to cash in on Green and maybe Bassit given the prices going around, but even being willing to dump off IKF at the last second helps.

The team didn't get any star players back, although Bloss immediately goes into being one of the team's top 5 prospects. I'm guessing he spends the rest of this year at AAA, maybe gets a spot start or two late in the season once the AAA calendar is done, and next year is in conversation for the #5 spot in the rotation.

Loperfido seems like Varsho-lite. Clase seems similar. I would expect the pair of them to essentially hold down the #3 and #4 outfield slots. And with KK, Turner, and IKF traded away, that will give plenty of ABs for Horwitz, Jimenez, Clement, Barger, etc... to round out the infield the rest of the year, and hopefully give the team an idea of which of them look like legit players who can stick, and which might need replacements.

A lot of the other names are wildcards, but between the 10 or so of them they added, there's a decent chance that one or two of them will be ready soon enough and potentially make a difference.

According to Cot's Contracts, the Jays are at about 140m in commitments for next year, on a 241M CBT threshold. If they are willing to spend to that (which is around the 235m they are at this year), then you have about 100m to play with. With generous estimates, you probably have:
Vlad 26m
Romano 9m
Varsho 10m
Kirk 5m

So you have about 50m left. Say you allocate another 10-15m to generic first year arbitration raises and the players needed to fill out the roster (ie. Manoah will be 2m, Clement maybe 1.5, etc...), you probably have a solid 40m or so to spend in free agency. You could try for one of the big arms (Burnes, Fried, Bieber, Walker), or I could see them go for a second tier arm or bullpen help and try for like a Ha-Seong Kim option instead to shore up the infield defense. But either way, I think you have some space to play with.
Click to expand...
let Romano walk
 
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