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OT: World Politics

Yeah, it's entirely cool to be skeptical of anything the IDF says. But I see way too many journalists just repeating "Palestinian Sources" (aka, Hamas) claims and data verbatim as if true.
 
Pick your red line

1) "If western troops are in Ukraine, the Russian federation will consider that an escalation yadda yadda, all options yadda yadda"

or 2, after Ukraine has exhausted itself and Russia takes a shot at re claiming the Baltics "If Nato envokes article 5, the Russian federation will consider this cause for extreme action yadda yadda"

and yes, I just yadda yadda'd the threat of nuclear war. Not the be flippant about the most serious fuck up humans are capable of getting themselves into, but because Russia is a fucking terrorist state that will threaten whatever they need to if they think for just a moment that it will help them get what they want. Letting a nuke off the chain is the end of the Putin regime and they know it.
 
The challenge is that this regime has been gradually painting itself into a corner for years. They created their own existential crisis through increasingly totalitarian and incompetent rule within Russia such that blaming the west and creating distractions by trying to retake former imperial possessions is their only path to régime survival. I mean, this is like France trying to take back Algeria.

It’s all or nothing for the ruling group, and they know it.
 
LeafGm said:
This isn’t the first time the Pope’s made dumbass comments in support of Russia since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

He’s walked some of them back when faced with public outcry, but clearly he’s a tankie at heart, which isn’t an uncommon position among Cold War-era South American leftists.
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It’s weird that these reflexive anti-imperialists (though mostly anti-American, I suppose) can’t see Russia for what it is. Credit to the KGB propagandists, they managed to make their victimization narrative sufficiently digestible for these sanctimonious fools.
 
AP79 said:
There is way too much chatter about this, the UK already has boots on the ground, Germany is discussing it's options... that doom's day clock is a few seconds from midnight it seems. I hope more rational minds will prevail, but I never underestimate the potential of human stupidity...
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Watching the Red Army elephants get punked for 2 years by the Ukrainian mice has been enlightening. I am no longer afraid of Putin or the Russian armed forces. If they want a war, fine by me. Want some? Get some. Because the West has more advanced equipment and theirs actually works because it's all properly maintained. Russian power is a myth. All they have at the end of the day is meat to put into the grinder. Aside from hoping their opponents run out of bullets before they run out of soldiers to shoot at they have no real strategy. Yes, they have nukes, but like every other piece of Russian ordinance, when nuclear missiles aren't properly maintained they have just as good a chance of exploding inside their silos than reaching their targets. And long before it gets to that point someone will push Putin out of a window because Russia isn't run by communist ideologues anymore. It's run by gangsters and oligarchs who love money above all other things.

The US may not be the first ones in (and who could have predicted that France, of all countries, would be the ones stepping up to do their civic duty?) but just like both world wars they will eventually come in off the bench and push the West over the goal line.

And China is also run by gangsters who love money so they aren't going to lift a finger to help Russia. If anything they'll be looking to expand into it.
 
Wayward DP said:

View: https://twitter.com/SlavaMalamud/status/1767495978167280102
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Seriously, if the firehose of American aid gets turned back on, the Russians are in deep fucking trouble.

The ukies are back to where they were before the US aid started rolling in heavy, trading Russian blood for a few sqkm of territory here and there while trying to preserve man and materials as much as possible. But the lack of counter battery action has let the Russians get back to their playbook of stacking artillery and focus firing small patches, then meat waving with infantry.

In the interim though, the Ukies are developing more and better weapons that allow them to strike into Russian territory in absence of the ability to use western missiles to do that.
 
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