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The 2019-2020 MotherFucking Season Thread

I don't know how I feel about this decision. Feel like he is getting too cute. Just play him against the shitty teams and Anderson against everybody else. The Isles are a tough team when they have a lead and if Hutch gives up a couple of bad ones it could be lights out quick.
 
It's a bold move for sure. We literally haven't seen the leafs deliberately start their backup without clear need in....years. But other teams do.

Thing to remember is that Freddy hasn't exactly been stellar lately either.

Anyways, for anyone serious about resting the starter, this is how you do it.
 
Maybe they're just doing it when they think Fred needs rest? Sure looks like he needs some to me.

I can buy this. But if this is some strategic decision based on evaluating the upcoming games we play and he picks this one, I just don't see it.

The Isles are more dangerous then you all believe.
 
I can buy this. But if this is some strategic decision based on evaluating the upcoming games we play and he picks this one, I just don't see it.

The Isles are more dangerous then you all believe.
Its not even me downplaying the Isles though, I just think that in division game is pretty important.

Personally unless I knew Freddie really needed the rest I’d try to push it til the Devils game.
 
I can buy this. But if this is some strategic decision based on evaluating the upcoming games we play and he picks this one, I just don't see it.

The Isles are more dangerous then you all believe.

Not often we agree but we do on this. Their offense isn't scary but they play such a tight team D that they'll try to clog up the Leafs. Their goaltending is also capable so I wouldn't view this game as a slam dunk either.

The Leafs are hot though so they should be favorites.
 
Hey @Volcanologist while you're expertly demolishing Pookie, feel free to point out something obvious that nobody there seems to have noticed.

That study he is using to diminish the impact of coaching actually proves the exact OPPOSITE of what he thinks it says.

That study is sort of a Mythbuster, and it busts the "New Coach Bump" myth. I.e. the claim that most teams get an automatic bump in performance just from the act of switching coaches by itself, regardless of the quality of coaching.

What that study proves, though, is that doesn't actually happen - on average, coaching changes makes no impact by itself. Some teams improve, some stay the same, some get worse - in equal proportions. There is no magic bump just from firing your coach.

What this means, then, is the exact opposite of what Pookie wants it to mean - it means that post coaching-change improvements CANNOT be dismissed as just a "new coach bump", since there is no such thing as a "new coach bump".

This doesn't mean that changes are necessarily due to the coaching (though in our case there is overwhelming evidence that it is), but the ONE and ONLY thing his study makes crystal clear is that the change most definitely cannot be dismissed as due to the mythical "New Coach Bump".
 
Isles pick their spots when transitioning and do it well. Trotz has the ideal system for a team that does not have a lot of top end skill

Varlamov bouncing back (8+ gsaa) is helping but Greiss has seen a major regression in gsaa from 19.5 to 5.88 this season
 
This is a pretty data driven decision imo

Isles are 27th in CF
last in shots
25th in goals for/60
26th in expected goals
21st in scoring chances
powerplay in 19th in xGF/60 and 19th in gf/60

If you need to find a place to sneak your backup into a game, you could do worse than choosing the Islanders.
 
Yeah, their offense is nothing to write home about. They try to win games 2-1.

Good point.
 
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