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The Fucking Season Thread - Redemption Tour '22

Good, Jack needs a rest. Letting in 1-2 questionable goals per game over the past few weeks.

Leafs v Rangers: 3.01 expected goals, 5 actual
Leafs v St Louis: 2.02 expected goals, 5 actual
Leafs v Vegas: 2.93 expected goals, 3 actual
Leafs v Avs: 4.07 expected goals, 5 actual
Leafs v Oilers: 1.84 expected, 2 actual

So over his last 5 starts, he's given up 6 goals more than expected, which is obviously pretty fucking terrible. Leafs are 5th in the NHL over that period in all situations xGA/60 (2.61) but 28th in GA/60 (3.77).
 
Weird sked coming up but I wouldn't be surprised go see this:

21st: ----
22nd: Mrazek vs NYI
23rd: ---
24th: ---
25th: ---
26th: Campbell vs ANA
27th: ---
28th: ---
29th: Mrazek vs DET
30th: ---
31st: Campbell vs NJD
1st: Mrazek vs NJD
2nd: ---
3rd: ---
4th: ---
5th: ---
6th: ---
7th: Campbell vs CAR
 
MindzEye said:
Good, Jack needs a rest. Letting in 1-2 questionable goals per game over the past few weeks.

Leafs v Rangers: 3.01 expected goals, 5 actual
Leafs v St Louis: 2.02 expected goals, 5 actual
Leafs v Vegas: 2.93 expected goals, 3 actual
Leafs v Avs: 4.07 expected goals, 5 actual
Leafs v Oilers: 1.84 expected, 2 actual

So over his last 5 starts, he's given up 6 goals more than expected, which is obviously pretty fucking terrible. Leafs are 5th in the NHL over that period in all situations xGA/60 (2.61) but 28th in GA/60 (3.77).
Click to expand...
confirms some of what me eyes have been seeing.

give the man a rest. plus, would be good to get goalie pete going too.
 
zeke said:
Weird sked coming up but I wouldn't be surprised go see this:

21st: ----
22nd: Mrazek vs NYI
23rd: ---
24th: ---
25th: ---
26th: Campbell vs ANA
27th: ---
28th: ---
29th: Mrazek vs DET
30th: ---
31st: Campbell vs NJD
1st: Mrazek vs NJD
2nd: ---
3rd: ---
4th: ---
5th: ---
6th: ---
7th: Campbell vs CAR
Click to expand...
how do we have so many off days? weird indeed
 
I dunno. He fits the mold. Has had good nerdos at times and bad. Looks very middling right now but then again so does Lindholm and I'm pretty sure he's actually good too.

Might be perfect might be shit.
 
I know the talk is of a defenceman. but I really think we're ok there when Muzzin and Holl get back. would I like more skill yeah. but not at the price of defence. I'm not sure we can even get that anyway.

what we need to get is a forward good enough for us to go superline with 3 of our top 4 guys.

because we aren't getting 8 figures of value out of Mitch and JT. only Matthews is really worth that money right now and even he's 18th in scoring.

we gotta find a way to load up one of the top 2 lines and run a superline all the time at evens.
 
Don't think he's there yet. In a perfect world they add back there. But I want help up front too. Big boy teams all have that elite #1 type. Would be nice to compensate by having 4 first pair types.
 
Preston said:
Don't think he's there yet. In a perfect world they add back there. But I want help up front too. Big boy teams all have that elite #1 type. Would be nice to compensate by having 4 first pair types.
Click to expand...

Oh, I'm not saying that he looks like a #1 out there. Just that he's starting to push the play himself, pinching more, jumping into the play, etc. He's not out there trying to not lose his NHL job anymore, he's out there playing. Yeah, he still looks like a young defender sometimes (kind of had a hard reboot in real time trying to figure out that bouncing puck on the Parise goal, instead of just playing Parise), but he's not out there playing it safe anymore.
 
I have a "why not both" (a forward and a d) attitude but I'm also extremely anti rentals and pro saving currency to help extend their window, which is far wiser than going all-in on any given year. The Muzzin deal was always my favorite.
 
Any defender you're going to get at the deadline is probably going to be a marginal upgrade at best over our in house options. I'm also of the opinion that Muzzin props up Holl. I'd like to see a bit more mix and match in the top 4. I'd really like to see if:

Mo-XXXXX
Muzz-Brodie

With XXXXX being one of Sandin or Lilly, isn't better than Mo-Brodie, Muzz-Holl.
 
It depends on who's available but when it comes to both d and forwards I'm only doing it if I'm shooting sky high. First line winger or top pair quality d. Leafs have several guys who can be adequate #4-6d and bottom 9 forwards. They don't need to add more.
 
Preston said:
It depends on who's available but when it comes to both d and forwards I'm only doing it if I'm shooting sky high. First line winger or top pair quality d. Leafs have several guys who can be adequate #4-6d and bottom 9 forwards. They don't need to add more.
Click to expand...

Pending UFA's (top 3D, top 6F) on non playoff teams

D: Lindholm, Giodano, Klingberg, Manson
F: Pavelski, Giroux, Kessel, Getzlaf

Giordano maybe?
 
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