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No Excuses No Limits! The mother fucking goddamn season thread

they were terrible after McCabe's return but were getting right back on track....and then mccabe got injured again.

7gms after McCabe's Return up to xmas:

McCabe: 39.4%
Tanev: 46.8%

6gms after xmas and before McCabe's second injury:

McCabe: 56.7%
Tanev: 55.4%

and i don't think there was much qoc difference in those skeds.
 
Injury impact halfway thru the year:


1736635001962.png




note that the Avs' injuries likely include Landeskog there, who i'm not sure should actually count.
 
93 D pairings with 200+ minutes played together this year 5v5. Approximately 3 per team.


xGF% Rank of 93

#1 LAK Spence-Movarare: 224min, 68.9% (bottom pair for a good team)
#2 NYR Miller-Fox: 266min, 66.3% (top pair for an average team)
#3 WSH Fehervary-Carlson: 225min, 63.9% (2nd pair for a very good team)
#4 EDM Ekholm-Bouchard: 688min, 61.4% (top pair for a good team)
#5 COL DeHaan-Malinski: 204min, 60.8% (bottom pair for a good team)

#31 WPG Demelo-Morrissey: 655min, 53.6% (top pair for a good team)
#32 MIN Chisholm-Spurgeon: 280min, 53.6% (2nd pair for a very good team)
#33 TOR McCabe-Tanev: 355min, 53.4% (shutdown for a good team)
#34 OTT Chabot-Jensen: 584min, 52.9% (top pair for an average team)
#35 TBL McDonagh-Cernak: 519min, 52.6% (shutdown pair for a good team)

#41 DET Edvinsson-Seider: 413min, 51.8% (top pair for a bad team)
#42 CGY Pachal-Bean: 313min, 51.8% (bottom pair for an average team)
#43 TOR Rielly-OEL: 312min, 51.7% (2nd pair for a good team)
#44 CBJ Christiansen-Severson: 221min, 51.7% (2nd pair for an average team)
#45 EDM Nurse-Stecher: 305min, 51.4% (2nd pair for a good team)

#47 median average

#89 DET Chiarot-Seider: 254min, 40.1% (shutdown for a bad team)
#90 VAN Soucy-Juulsen: 265min, 39.9% (bottom pair for a good team)
#91 NSH Lauzon-Carrier: 241min, 39.1% (2nd pair for an awful team)
#92 TOR Benoit-Timmins: 336min, 38.2% (bottom pair for a good team)
#93 SJS Thrun-Ceci: 225min, 31.9% (shutdown for an awful team)




187 Dmen with 350+ minutes played 5v5. Approx 6 per team.

xgf% rank

#49 TOR McCabe 52.8% (shutdown on good team)
#53 TOR Tanev 52.7% (shutdown on good team)
#58 TOR Rielly 52.5% (second pair on good team)
#82 TOR OEL 50.9% (second pair on good team)

#94 median average

#104 TOR Timmins 49.2% (bottom pair on good team)

#183 SJS Thrun 39.4% (shutdown on awful team)
#184 SJS Rutta 38.8% (2nd pair on awful team)
#185 TOR Benoit 38.8% (bottom pair on good team)
#186 SJS Ceci 38.2% (shutdown on awful team)
#187 CHI Allan 38.1% (bottom pair on awful team)
 
With Benoit --> Without Benoit

McCabe: 39.0% --> 55.5%
Tanev: 27.4% -----> 57.3%
Rielly: 42.5% -----> 52.5%
OEL: 36.0% -------> 50.4%
Timmins: 42.3% --> 59.8%
Myers: 34.1% -----> 53.9%


and this isn't because they're playing some kind of super tough usage when with Benoit.
 
Benoit is ass.

If you can't move the puck, you're not a good NHL defender. You might be able to get carried on the right pairing to decent results, or on a team that plays a system that doesn't expose the shit out of you, but that's about it.
 
PP last two years:
wCORE4: 242:36 mins, 9.65 GF/60, 10.39 xGF/60
w/oCore 4: 117:49, 3.56 GF/60, 5.96 xGF/60

w/o Auston: 44:07, 17.67 GF/60, 10.59 xGF/60
w/o Marner: 48:00, 5 GF/60, 7.22 xGF/60
w/o Tavares: 36:34, 13.12 GF/60, 6.84 xGF/60
w/o Willy: 2:25, 0 GF/60, 3.91 xGF/60

Willy/Tavares: 6:12, 0 GF/60, 9.84 xGF/60
Auston/Mitch: 8:31, 0 GF/60, 9.47 xGF/60
Marner/Tavares 1:10, 0 GF/60, 7.73 xGF/60
Auston/Willy: 9:37, 6.24 GF/60, 6.36 xGF/60
Marner/Willy: 3:52, 0 GF/60, 5.94 xGF/60
Auston/Tavares 1:42, 0 GF/60 0 xGF/60

Auston alone: 4:31, 3.24 GF/60, 10.59 xGF/60
Marner alone: 3:51, 31.17 GF/60 8.63 xGF/60
Tavares alone: 7:49, 0 GF/60, 7.03 xGF/60
Willy alone: 23:06, 0 GF/60, 4.64 xGF/60

They should pretty clearly split up PP1. And the two best options appear to be Marner/Willy/JT on one unit, and Matthews on another. or Willy/JT and Marner/Matthews. The first option being slightly better, and even out performing the Core4.

The other thing is keeping WIlly on for the entire PP with PP2 has had a negative effect on PP2.
 
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