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OT: The Toronto Blue Jays

Just read Tyler Black is from Stouffville. I spent most of my life in Scarborough but moved to Stouffville 5 years ago. Cool to have a guy from here drafted so high. Was hoping he’d drop to the Jays.
 

KG: Hoglund’s recent Tommy John surgery dropped him out of the first 10 picks, but in the end, he didn’t fall all that far, and by draft day was expected to go in the 15-20 range. The Jays were one of the toughest teams to get a read on once the draft began, but in the end, they couldn’t pass on this kind of upside at 19.

EL: I love this for Toronto. I think Hoglund’s TJ rehab presents his parent club the opportunity to rework his body and maybe coax more velo out of him, the same way the Dodgers did with Walker Buehler. Hoglund’s slider command is incredible. He was carving up the SEC sitting 80-92 — imagine him parked in the mid-90s.
 
Ricky Teidemenn at #88.

I like it.

only 18. was projecting up to maybe 1st round status in his senior year of HS but between an injury and the lockdowns he had a full year and a half off from pitching. but came back throwing as well as ever. 6'3"/4" but looks all gangly so he might be longer than his height indicates. Only up to 94 so far but projects for maybe more. Good changeup and potential good slider. Nice gamble on a talent that may have risen way higher without the lockdowns.
 
Ricky Teidemenn at #88.

I like it.

only 18. was projecting up to maybe 1st round status in his senior year of HS but between an injury and the lockdowns he had a full year and a half off from pitching. but came back throwing as well as ever. 6'3"/4" but looks all gangly so he might be longer than his height indicates. Only up to 94 so far but projects for maybe more. Good changeup and potential good slider. Nice gamble on a talent that may have risen way higher without the lockdowns.
Seems like a good pick. He was actually draft eligible last year as a 17 year old (turns 19 on Aug 18) but didn't get picked and went to a junior college so he could be eligible this year. That seems to suggest he might be very motivated to sign. Slot for the #91 pick is $647,300. FWIW (almost nothing) Fangraphs had him ranked as the 68th best prospect.
 
The Jays have only drafted pitchers through the first 5 rounds.

Seems a bit like an AA draft in that way.
 
Seems to be a focus on high upside arms. Given how crazy everything has been in the last year, I don't mind that strategy. Pitchers are often tough to gauge, so take a bunch of shots and maybe one of these guys who missed a bunch of time will come back stronger than before.
 
Baseball America:

19. Blue Jays


Pick: Gunnar Hoglund
School: Mississippi
Position: RHP

Instant Analysis: With the 19th overall pick, the Blue Jays get the No. 19 player on the BA 500 in Hoglund. Until he had Tommy John surgery this spring, Hoglund looked like a potential top-10 pick, so the Blue Jays are getting a talented pitcher with a strong track record when healthy, but they will have to be patient for him to return at some point next summer.

Scouting Report: A supplemental first-round pick of the Pirates in 2018 after he went 7-0, 0.27 at Fivay High in Hudson, Fla., Hoglund’s command has long stood out. It made him an immediate contributor at Ole Miss, and it has helped him be one of the best pitchers in the Southeastern Conference in 2020 and 2021. Hoglund’s 2021 season came to a premature end when he blew out his pitching elbow in his May 7 start against Texas A&M. His rehab from Tommy John surgery means he’ll be sidelined until midway through 2022, and it likely ended any chance he had of being a top-10 pick. But Hoglund’s body of work (154 innings in three years at Ole Miss) gives teams a lot of comfort with who Hoglund is—a relatively safe starting pitcher with plus command who has the ability to throw three pitches for strikes no matter what the count. Hoglund came into 2021 viewed as a starter likely to be taken in the back of the first round, but he quickly showed improved stuff. Hoglund had touched 95 mph going back to high school, but he generally sat 90-92. This year, he sat 92-94 mph. His slider got a little harder and sharper as well. Hoglund has shown he can spot his above-average fastball to the arm side or glove side, but he generally aims to keep his fastball away—he’ll work glove side to righthanders and arm side to lefties. He consistently wins at 0-0 in the count, getting ahead which means he can then attack righties with his above-average, 80-84 mph slider, again generally staying away. Lefties have to worry about his low-80s, above-average changeup, but he’s also shown he’s comfortable working in on their hands with his slider. It’s that ability to spot all three pitches and avoid the heart of the plate that is key to his success. Even after his elbow injury, he’s seen as a low-risk surefire starter with a consistent, easy delivery.
 
Soto knocks out Ohtani, was pushing for Ohtani to win the whole thing. Good to see Vladdy there having fun.
 
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