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The Mother-fucking goddamn Off-season Thread

let me complete that analysis. when they signed the deal, these were the reasonable projections as to the percentage of cap his hit would take up in each year:

Yr1: 14.0%
Yr2: 13.5%
Yr3: 13.0%
Yr4: 12.5%
Yr5: 12.0%

For an average of 13% per year. So that's the approximate cap percentage they negotiated for on that 5yr deal.

NHL has also projected approximate 5% increases for 24-25 to $87.5 and 25-26 to $92.0. If we extend that out to 8 years then we're looking at about $123m in year 8 - that's if the cap increased 5% every year.

24-25 87.5
25-26 92.0
26-27 96.6
27-28 101.4
28-29 106.5
29-30 111.8
30-31 117.4
31-32 123.3

Average 104.6. 13% of that comes to $13.5m per year.

But again that's based on a very aggressive 5% increase every year. if it's only 3-4% per year after the initial projected large increases than you can chop a mil off that caphit down to around $12.5m.

And there are reasons to argue he should get a raise over that same 13% - i.e. UFA years worth more than RFA years - and reasons to argue against - i.e. age 27-34 are usually post-peak or decline years on average. I do have a feeling that both sides agreed when negotiating the original contract that peak years were much more relevant than UFA/RFA status. There's also the notion that he might agree to simply take a lower percentage or at least not ask for a raise over that 13% based on what happened during the first contract.

8 x $12.5 would make sense for a few reasons - it's pretty close to a reasonable estimate of 13% of the projected 8yrs future caps, and it wouldn't set any precedent as it would only match what McDavid and MacKinnon got (knowing full well that McDavid's next contract will be much bigger).

but if it's $13.5 i won't cry about it.
 
if you're going to be cheap, at least have a sense of humour about it....13.34 x 8
 
The concern is Matthews wants 13-14 x 3-5 and then 8 at whatever 17% of the cap is, which may be $17-20 mill at that point.

Obviously much better to the Leafs to lock him in at 8 years now.
 
CH1 said:
au contraire...I am consistently pro player so I want the best for Matthews. I don't think Matthews getting a decent raise is ludicrous. Especially when some of his teammates are overpaid.
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oh-sure-john-candy.gif
 
He could get 13-13.5+ for 5 years probably if he really wanted, yeah. But throwing the Leafs a bone and going 8 would be kind of him. I mean I don't think it's asking much or all that different than what many other players have done across the league. Maybe Auston isn't wired that way, and that is his right but it's not like we're hoping for something unprecedented here. Maybe for the Leafs, but not around the league.
 
CH1 said:
regular season zeke: Matthews is better than McDavid
negotiation zeke: Matthews deserves a 2% raise for the entire remainder of his prime earning years
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if McDavid wants to win he shouldn't be sucking his team dry either.
 
zeke said:
if McDavid wants to win he shouldn't be sucking his team dry either.
Click to expand...

why should superstars subsidize their GMs foolishness in overpaying low event players and has been netminders?
 
I would argue Oilers let Jack Campbell suck them dry.

McDavid will get a ton more next time...if not Edmonton, then elsewhere
 
Matthews has made the 2nd most money in hockey over this contract.

8 x $12.5m would give him a good chance to be earn the 2nd most money over the next 8 years, too.
 
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