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No Excuses No Limits! The mother fucking goddamn season thread

Last Year's game 1 lineup vs my best guess at this year's game 1 lineup:

* = if healthy

Bunting-Matthews-Marner ---> Bertuzzi-Matthews-Domi
Tavares-O'Reilly-Nylander ---> McMann-Tavares-Marner
Kerfoot-Acciari-Jarnkrok ---> Robertson-Holmberg-Nylander
ZAR-Kampf-Lafferty ---> Knies-Kampf-Jarnkrok*

Rielly-Schenn ---> Rielly-Lyubushkin
Brodie-McCabe ---> Benoit-McCabe
Giordano-Holl ---> Edmundson-Liljegren

Samsonov ---> Samsonov
 
of course, because Keefe is an idiot, game 1 last year was an utter disaster and he had to completely revamp the lineup for game 2. also, bunting was injured in game 1.

So here's game 2 lineup vs our likely game 1 lineup this year:

Jarnkrok-Matthews-Marner ---> Bertuzzi-Matthews-Domi
Kerfoot-Tavares-Nylander ---> McMann-Tavares-Marner
Knies-O'Reilly-Acciari ---> Robby-Holmberg-Nylander
ZAR-Kampf-Lafferty ---> Knies-Kampf-Jarnkrok*

Rielly-Schenn ---> Rielly-Boosh
Brodie-McCabe ---> Benoit-McCabe
Giordano-Holl ---> Edmundson-Liljegren

Samsonov ---> Samsonov​
 
And here's the lineup for the second round game 1 compared to this year's:

Knies-Matthews-Marner ---> Bertuzzi-Matthews-Domi
Jarnkrok-Tavares-Nylander ---> McMann-Tavares-Marner
Bunting-O'Reilly-Acciari ---> Robertson-Holmberg-Nylander
ZAR-Kampf-Kerfoot ---> Knies-Kampf-Jarnkrok

Rielly-Schenn ---> Rielly-Boosh
Brodie-McCabe ---> Benoit-McCabe
Giordano-Liljegren ---> Edmundson-Liljegren

Samsonov ---> Samsonov​
 
Last year's roster in order of total playoffs TOI, compared to this year's roster with my guess at the likeliest to fill that icetime:


Matthews 251:37 ---> Matthews
Marner 265:24 ---> Marner
Nylander 206:15 ---> Nylander

Tavares 205:59 ---> Tavares
O'Reilly 218:02 ---> Domi
Acciari 164:27 ---> Bertuzzi

Jarnkrok 158:54 ---> Jarnkrok
Kerfoot 155:58 ---> Holmberg
Kampf 155:03 ---> Kampf

Bunting 101:54 ---> McMann
Lafferty 96:07 ---> Robertson/Reaves
Knies 91:52 ---> Knies
ZAR 53:20 ---> Dewar


Rielly 265:40 ---> Rielly
Brodie 256:42 ---> Liljegren

McCabe 230:56 ---> McCabe
Schenn 191:57 ---> Boosh

Giordano 163:47 ---> Edmundson
Holl 158:02 ---> Benoit

Liljegren 76:19 ---> Brodie
Gustafsson 20:05 ---> Timmins
 
i still like this year's lineup better than maybe any other leafs playoffs lineup. though a lot of that is because of keefe never icing close to our best lineups in previous years.

But I mean Gio/Holl were so horrendous last year that Eddy/Benoit is probably an upgrade. And Brodie started well but was terrible in round 2, and it looks like we'll finally get to see Lilly play a real playoffs role which is nice.

Up front ROR is a big loss especially since he took all the heavies, but guys like bunting acciari kerf lafferty zar ranged from ineffective to unplayable. Bertuzzi Domi McMann Knies having full time roles i see as likely an upgrade, even if keefe fucks around with Robby and Holmberg (though i'm starting to believe he might actually keep them in too). But even if he doesn't, the Dewar-Kampf-Reaves 4th line has probably been better than any 4th line we've had yet.

the goalies worry me more this year, but Sammy was bad last year anyways.
 
Obviously I want them to win it all, and think Matthews can lead them there.

But also an flameout and cleaning the house of Tre and Keefe would be less upsetting than usual.
hard to get too invested when your team willingly and knowingly plays three #6 d-men instead of actual puck movers
 
i still like this year's lineup better than maybe any other leafs playoffs lineup. though a lot of that is because of keefe never icing close to our best lineups in previous years.

But I mean Gio/Holl were so horrendous last year that Eddy/Benoit is probably an upgrade. And Brodie started well but was terrible in round 2, and it looks like we'll finally get to see Lilly play a real playoffs role which is nice.

Up front ROR is a big loss especially since he took all the heavies, but guys like bunting acciari kerf lafferty zar ranged from ineffective to unplayable. Bertuzzi Domi McMann Knies having full time roles i see as likely an upgrade, even if keefe fucks around with Robby and Holmberg (though i'm starting to believe he might actually keep them in too). But even if he doesn't, the Dewar-Kampf-Reaves 4th line has probably been better than any 4th line we've had yet.

the goalies worry me more this year, but Sammy was bad last year anyways.
..and Matthews is absolutely having a season, which is what we've been waiting for.
 
Last year 5v5


Matthews 11gms, 18;32, -9.3dzs%, 58.2xgf% (+4.8rel), 1.17p1/60, 1.47p/60
Marner 11gms, 17:36, -14.6dzs%, 56.1xgf% (+2.6rel), 1.86p1/60, 1.86p/60
Bunting 7gms, 13:28, +0.0dzs%, 57.7xgf% (+5.5rel), 0.64p1/60, 0.64p/60
Knies 7gms, 12:15, -4.2dzs%, 59.3xgf% (+8.1rel), 2.80p1/60, 2.80p/60

Tavares 11gms, 14:40, -10.4dzs%, 51.7xgf% (-0.1rel), 1.48p1/60, 1.86p/60
Nylander 11gms, 15:57, -9.6dzs%, 54.8xgf% (+4.3rel), 0.68p1/60, 1.37p/60
Jarnkrok 11gms, 12:15, -1.9dzs%, 54.2xgf% (+2.2rel), 0.90p1/60, 1.34p/60

O'Reilly 11gms, 15:01, +5.9dzs%, 44.4xgf% (-6.3rel), 0.36p1/60, 1.82p/60
Acciari 11gms, 13:26, +17.0dzs%, 44.6xgf% (-4.2rel), 0.81p1/60, 0.81p/60
Kerfoot 11gms, 12:49, +10.1dzs%, 46.7xgf% (-2.7rel), 0.43p1/60, 0.43p/60

Kampf 11gms, 11:45, +18.6dzs%, 38.1xgf% (-9.7rel), 0.93p1/60, 1.39p/60
Lafferty 9gms, 10:22, +22.9dzs%, 43.9xgf% (-4.1rel), 1.28p1/60, 1.93p/60
ZAR 6gms, 8:51, +22.2dzs%, 39.8xgf% (-4.9rel), 1.13p1/60, 1.13p/60



Rielly 11gms, 20:10, -4.5dzs%, 57.4xgf% (+4.6rel), 1.62p1/60, 2.70p/60
Schenn 11gms, 16:29, -2.3dzs%, 59.9xgf% (+7.9rel), 0.33p1/60, 0.33p/60

Brodie 11gms, 20:08, +8.9dzs%, 54.9xgf% (+5.1rel), 0.54p1/60, 0.81p/60
McCabe 11gms, 19:08, +7.5dzs%, 47.6xgf% (-3.4rel), 0.29p1/60, 0.57p/60

Holl 8gms, 16:22, +7.5dzs%, 38.3xgf% (-10.9rel), 0.46p1/60, 0.46p/60
Giordano 11gms, 12:04, +2.5dzs%, 41.1xgf% (-10.7rel), 0.00p1/60, 0.00p/60

Liljegren 5gms, 14:40, -1.9dzs%, 48.3xgf% (-1.5rel), 0.00p1/60, 0.00p/60
Gustafsson 2gms, 9:14, -28.6dzs%, 60.5xgf% (+15.5rel), 3.25p1/60, 3.25p/60
 
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