Yeah, I think the breakdown is basically this at the moment:
- Offensive Lineup: Is just weaker, full stop. Teo was a legitimate middle of the order stick that they're unlikely to replace. I'm going to bet that the plan is to use Merrifield/Biggio as the 4th/5th OF/swissarmyknives. I would say replacing Tapia's AB's is a positive, but it looks like they're going to KK, Merrifield, Biggio...which I don't think is an upgrade.
- Defence: KK pushing Springer to RF definitely makes the OF D better. IF D is unchanged.
- Rotation: Banking on Berrios returning to form, which probably isn't a terrible bet tbh. Bassitt replaces Stripling's career year, probably. But signing a 34 yr old late career breakout pitcher is probably riskier than I've seen mentioned in response to the move. Like we saw with Ryu, the decline can be drastic and fast at that age. I'm still a bit nervous about who the #5 is going to be, but as far as problems go, meh. If Berrios doesn't return to form the #5 really doesn't matter much, if Berrios does return to form, the #5 doesn't really matter much.
- Bullpen: Upgraded thankfully. Was an expensive upgrade imo, but it is what it is. Romano-Swanson-Bass is a pretty nasty way to end a game and it pushes some other good relievers (Cimber, Pop, Jimi, etc) into roles I think they're just better suited for. This is the type of bullpen I wanted to see the Jays start last season with. It all shakes out to less high leverage for good but not elite guys like Jimi and Cimber, and less 4+ out appearances for Romano, which is also good.
They're basically the same as last year. They'll win 87 on the bottom end, 91-92 on the top end and be in the chase for a wild card spot into the last week or two of the season.